Casual (not necessarily causal) inferences about AI, data, engineering, technology and society. And occasionally security.

The name is a play on causal inference — I'm an economist by training. These days I spend most of my time on AI, with detours into data, engineering, and security.

Most of what you'll find here sits somewhere between a working note and a finished essay: things I've thought worth turning over in public, not declarations of established fact.